[
  {
    "claim": "Homeschooling increased substantially from pre-pandemic baseline",
    "status": "Verified in current official series",
    "evidence": "63,150 in 2023/24 vs 40,608 in 2019/20 (+55.5%)",
    "source": "https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=3710010901"
  },
  {
    "claim": "Continuous increase every year",
    "status": "Not supported",
    "evidence": "Declines in 2021/22 and 2022/23; rebound in 2023/24",
    "source": "https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=3710010901"
  },
  {
    "claim": "Ontario 176% increase into mid-2020s",
    "status": "Interval/provenance unverified",
    "evidence": "Current 2019/20–2023/24 interval +32.8%; older 2006/07–2019/20 about176% is arithmetic match only",
    "source": "https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/t1/tbl1/en/tv.action?pid=3710010901"
  },
  {
    "claim": "Nearly60% Ontario boards with enrolment decline",
    "status": "Attributable secondary reporting; not independently reproduced",
    "evidence": "Toronto Star Sept5/updatedSept25 2026, citing ministry, 2025/26 inflection point. Different period than national2023/24 series. Does not prove homeschooling cause."
  },
  {
    "claim": "Homeschooling causes better outcomes for all children",
    "status": "Not established",
    "evidence": "Canadian studies show promising selected-group outcomes; small samples and selection limit causal/population conclusions."
  }
]